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- Parent Category: World Markets
- Category: Currencies
- Created on 03 March 2015
- Written by Rohit Srivastava
Across the board the dollar rallied against currency pairs. And this time round the CNY is not staying out of the currency war. so that leaves Indian and Thailand which are stronger than the rest. The USDJPY crossed 120 and the CAD completed a triangle. Indonesia Argentina are near new lows and Brazil is not far behind. USDCNY below.
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- Category: About
- Created on 10 June 2013
- Written by Rohit Srivastava
Long-Short Report
SHOCKED by this weeks sell off? WHAT NEXT? Every month I forecast the Market View for the Month ahead with a clear cut Nifty forecast, using Elliott Waves, 2 dozen charts, including a dozen of my sentiment indicators that help measure cycles in the market and identify medium term tops and bottoms. The targets are not important but the direction is, and the LSR is always published where tops or bottoms are being established. Also covers key Macroeconomic factors and charts that are important including currencies interest rates or gold. GET 
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Winter Update
A toast to Floating currencies
- 'skating away...skating away...on the thin ice...' - Jethro Tull
Skating is one thing but TO FLOAT...you can never fall, till the air runs out
FLOATING AWAY
A moment in Time
A Long time since my last update on the economic cycle. Jan to be exact. But time was needed. Economic data does not change everyday and with one of the most important elections of the century a lot was possible. It was therefore worth waiting for the budget and RBI policy to be behind us to see which direction we are headed. The previous forecast for the economic cycle was that we were in the final phase of the winter. READ MORE
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- Category: Uncategorised
- Created on 07 December 2012
- Written by Rohit Srivastava
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INDIACHARTS® IS A SCIENTIFIC ANALYSIS OF THE INDIAN AND GLOBAL STOCK MARKETS UPDATED IN REAL TIME AS AND WHEN AN OBSERVATION IS MADE WITH A VISION TO STAY ABREAST WITH THE LATEST TRENDS AND CHANGING INVESTMENT LANDSCAPE AND HELP YOU GENERATE PROFITABLE INVESTMENT AND TRADING IDEAS.
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Rohit Srivastava: ' Indiacharts® is a live update of my market analysis for public reading. My views are based on my understanding of the markets after years of such analysis, since 1991. MORE ABOUT ME Visit my network on the left and share it. Start your Indiacharts experience JOIN the free mailing list. OR Join Indiacharts Insiders |
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- Details
- Parent Category: World Markets
- Category: Equities
- Created on 01 April 2013
- Written by Rohit Srivastava
23 FEBRUARY 2015
MEDIUM TERM
NIFTY ELLIOTT WAVE UPDATE :- The medium term Elliott wave counts and analysis updated on weekly charts every weekend to subscibers.
It is about time that the market breaks out of the channel into a new price range. Both bullish and bearish options remain open, with an eventful week use key levels for judgement. The big question remains 'Are we ending or extending' READ MORE
LONG TERM COUNT
THE LONG & SHORT REPORT :- The LSR is our detailed monthly forecast of where the markets are headed, including sentiment indicators, inter market analysis, wave counts and a global perspective . Report now available TO Indiacharts Subscribers.
Long term Perspective and Basis: Updated 01 DECEMBER 2014
In the Long short report I have often written about the Late autumn bull market. This was analogous to the late summer bull market. The summer was the business cycle that turned down in the 1990s but ended after the Y2K bubble. That was a speculative bull run. Similarly we are in a business cycle down turn since 2010 and are now in a bull run QE/OMO driven into bonds. This bull run in a business cycle down turn must similarly end in a bubble to be identified only later after its over. The next leg down would be the last of the Kondratieff winter phase for India as well as all the debts and NPAs created are dealt with. Wave wise too I have revised the wave counts to a triangle followed by a 5 wave advance from the Aug 2013 low, as a final conclusion. This is the best case right now. The 5th wave of that bull run is now going on. Note I use the words bull run and not bull market, because a Bull market is a broad based rise in markets across sectors and over many years. What we have is a narrow bull run mostly in defensive stocks or those dependent on the global economy. At least so far.
The business cycle turned down in 1994 [double top with 1992] and ended in 2001 Both were Sept. 7 years. The next one ended in 2010 double top with 2008. 2010 was in Nov, so Nov 2017 is the best time for the down business cycle to end and next BULL MARKET to start. The tech bubble was 5 quarters long and we complete 5 quarters for the current bull market in Dec 2014. Too close for comfort. And yes in my previous notes I expected this business cycle to have alternation with the previous one and thus rejected the triangle formation however that was a Mistake so let me admit it here. Wave IV below is a triangle. Wave 5 is an impulse.
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