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Bank Nifty

On Thursday I published the hourly chart of bank nifty marking wave 5 as i-ii-i-ii which was not complete, but wave 5 did become very extended in that after a 5 wave decline the larger degree marking is ideally 1-2-3 done, and wave 4 up next. The hourly RSI at 15 we should see a short term bounce back to either 38.2% in wave 4 typically to 26000 but as wave 2 was also 38.2% do not rule out an alternation case where wave 4 is 61.8% at 26500, wave 5 down follows then after that. 

bn230918

Long-Short Report -  

AUGUST 20, 2018 - A Reality Check

Exactly One month after my last report I have put out what might be

The most important Update on the Market Since Jan 2018

July Saw a repeat of many behavioural data points from the past

but August was a surprise, but that has not changed the Big Picture.

I spend a lot of time on the Long term picture and why this is an

important time given what is happening to EMs and the Dollar

22 Charts to give you the complete picture

The Long Short Report   

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India's Long Economic cycle -  

 The Indian economy like every other follows the Long wave economic cycle, a debt based model of finance. Based on this it is possible to forecast the future path of the economy by studying the 4 seasons of the Kondratieff cycle. I published the first paper on the Indian Kondratieff cycle in 2009 and have been posting related article as updates from time to time based on it. To understand where the economy is in the long wave read the detailed paper [it is FREE] here and then continue to READ THE LASTEST UPDATE 

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