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Inter Market Analysis

Inter market analysis is a series of articles studying related segments of the market to identify lead lags between trends in each segment. This can often forewarn you of impending changes in trend and allow for planning of required action based on it. For example midcaps v/s large caps, currencies v/s commodities and US markets v/s European markets and so on. In a global environment inter-market relationships are not restricted to a country but between countries and their respective asset classes as well.

US 10 Year Treasury notes

US 10 year Treasury Notes remain in a downtrend near term and nothing has happened yet to change the trend or complete the wave count for a trend reversal yet.

notes 220518

US 30 Year Bonds

The US 30 year broke out and went past all previous highs. Closing above the blue neckline it confirms two potential technical patterns. Either a inverted head and shoulders bottom or a Cup and Handle pattern. The handle is a consolidation below the neckline before the breakout. Both patterns are long term and very bullish on the direction of bond yields or interest rates for the coming months. It points to nearly 4.8% 

bonds 180518

 

BitCoin

Bitcoin halted at the falling trendline in wave 4. Wave 5 down to continue the move lower.

btc150518

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